WASHINGTON 21 OCT 2024
Trump, Vance, select Red State Governors, maga election officials, prominent maga celebrities in Congress (one can't call them legislators bc they don't do that), and their propaganda mouthpieces, all have their speeches ready. The pre-cooked “irregularities” will start at the local level. A mysterious series of fires in election drop boxes will require armed maga “protection” of those locations. Vote counting centers will be quickly surrounded by “concerned citizens” wanting to see the ballots being counted. Stooge maga election observers will observe “irregularities” all over the place. They will “smuggle out" grainy phone video images of “illegal acts" that have already been filmed and edited. Maga election workers will claim ballot dumps in the middle of the night and their efforts to “protect the system” stymied by the “radical left lunatics” running the corrupt election (who in reality are retired little old ladies providing a civic duty).
Red states will deploy their guard's to “protect election integrity” (intimidate voters). President Biden will warn them to recall their forces due to lack of evidence of any wrong doing. This will be painted as Dark Brandon going full fascist to prevent Trump from being reelected. The Gov's will ignore Biden. The president will then nationalize the guard. The order, from the president, through the Pentagon, will be ignored. The precedent was ignoring covid protocols and the dismissal of guard members for non compliance. The same justifications will be rolled out again. States will claim Biden is siding with his VP and attempting a coup against the “obvious overwhelming winner” of the “landslide election”.
America will then find out just how far extremism has penetrated the guard and the military. Will the guard follow rogue Gov's? Will federal forces follow lawful orders to confront the situation? Will units on either side split?
Meanwhile maga paramilitaries will be trying to provoke crises in key swing states. Despite their Gov's being mostly blue. Maga paramilitaries will conduct armed “protests” in open carry states that will rapidly deteriorate and turn into mass hostage events requiring “federal overreach” to restore order. This is the “Waco strategy”. The idea is to “prove” hostile intent of federal forces against “innocent protestors” who all happen to be legally carrying AR-15s and won't let federal authorities restore order.
State courts, already working on 100+ cases for weeks BEFORE the election, will face an avalanche of injunctions and urgent cases on all sorts of spurious grounds designed to gum up the system and prevent it from actually resolving legitimate questions. Maga will push all cases as far as they will go in order to sow chaos and buy time for paramilitary and political action to end democracy.
Some states will refuse to certify or even send slates. Others will send fake slates. The objective will be to present the presiding officer with chaos and a challenge to her authority. Any action she takes will be presented as a self serving coup that maga has no choice than to resist using force.
The WaPo had an additional part of the scenario - likely “our secret plan” mentioned by Trump in reference to Johnson at his replay of the 1939 Nazi Rally at Madison Sq Garden. [Interested in seeing how it connects to Trump see this analysis we did years ago when we saw all of this coming well in advance]
Congress stalls certification
When House members are sworn in on Jan. 3, their first task will be to elect a speaker. In 2023, it took four days and 15 votes to elect a speaker. Later that year, it took three weeks to choose a new leader. Congress would be in uncharted territory if it didn’t have a speaker by Jan. 6, when it must meet to certify the presidential results. The House can perform few functions without a speaker, according to historians, and in October 2023, it was largely immobilized while members debated who should lead them.
There are a bunch of "constitutional sheriff's" who are planning out in the open for civil war. Accelerationists of all stripes will use political and violent activities to try and kick something off. The US has been constantly destabilized for a decade. J6 shocked some. But it opened the door for others bc of the piss weak response. Maga is ready. The rest of the country still has its head buried deep in the sand — “it can't happen here” / “when he says he's a dictator that will kill people, he doesn't really mean it”.
If all of this works, and it's 50/50 it will, then once the immediate dust settles, he will put the top enemies on the list on trial and execute say, the top 3. At the same time he will use executive orders and the FCC to shut down media who continue to dare push back. Bezos suggests it will be a short list.
When no meaningful or lasting push back over the first few executions create a “new normal” a few more will meet the same fate. The list will keep getting longer and longer. Soon the list of opposition figures deserving death in the national (Trump's personal) interest will gradually shift from individuals to groups to classes of people. it won't happen over night. It will take a few years to solidify power.
The economy will face collapse. Global markets will tank on the loss of the global force for stability in the economic, military and political world. Suddenly a lot of internationally ignorant people at home and abroad will find out just how much America really mattered to the efficient functioning of the entire global system in its sum and in all of its component parts. Overtime a new fascist economic order will take shape and provide some degree of order as trade wars rage between opposing blocks. Once the democracies are eliminated new fissures will form between the fascists.
Trump will not just terminate NATO and hand Ukraine to Putin. He will join the Axis powers who will become our new allies. Xi will follow through on the past few years escalating practice sessions and invade Taiwan. Suddenly all the tough China talk will dissolve as business opportunities spring up across china. Vankie getting some trademarks was just the taste of the big hit ready to drop into the family's bank accounts. Jared and the saudis etc… it will be a very different world.
Despite bowing to the orange overlord eventually Bezos will hang. Trump has a long memory and loves “viscous” solutions. There is nothing he hates more than disloyalty.
The world will be plunged into a new dark age propelled by unopposed propaganda, ubiquitous surveillance, and the overwhelming might of American Axis military power.
Watch out for Thiel pulling the strings on a 25th Amendment play by vessel Vance. Trump is so unhinged no one will stand in their way. Vance is polished enough to fool wall st long enough to implement daddy Thiel’s schemes. He won't have the juice for the full execution Nazi programs. He will be an Albert Speer type - a technocrat capable of following orders and shaping the economy to Thiel's design. Think crypto, tax cuts, deregulation and wildly enhanced misery for the working poor. The oligarchs don't understand they have squeezed the middle dry - giving rise to Trumpism in the first place. They are so disconnected they will keep squeezing until full anarchy cuts into their income by which time it will be too late. Trump is a noise machine. Thiel is the domestic puppet master and of course Putin is the global puppet master. The irony is Trump has spent his life seeking respect and that desperation has seen him condemned to being a laughing stock. There is always the chance that like the German oligarchs, Thiel and Musk think they can control him but he gets to big to be controlled. That's when the 25th plan makes most sense.
OR….
An alternative ending is the above plans are all tried but fail in the face of an overwhelming landslide to Harris that can't be denied. Of course, maga zombies are beyond logic and evidence. So scale will matter. If it's so obvious - Ted Cruz is defeated as well for example - then Trump's backers and/or foot soldiers might realize the futility of constant struggle or Kampf (in the Trump mother tongue).
As reported here, the initiative, energy, and enthusiasm rests with pro-constitution forces. For years maga had wild eyed enthusiasm and droves of willing zombies ready to follow orders - no matter what. When Trump called on them to show up at court it was no surprise they didn't bother in NY. The surprise was the total failure outside the FL court. As his crowd size crashes and people leave as soon as their venmo payments hit mid speech - even the zombies might not risk going to jail for their Golden Fuhrer who always seems evades consequences while the zombies get 2-20 years.
Polling only works when a country is stable. Even excluding polling practices that are not fit for purpose, polling has failed from 2016 onwards. Pollsters have “adjusted” their methodology to account for the instability of the times. I have zero faith in them. Both sides have an interest in saying it's tied to get out the vote.
It is clear the energy and enthusiasm has passed to the pro-democracy - pro-constitution side. Rally attendance, yard signs in rural areas, small amount fund raising, volunteering, are anecdotal but they are all reflected in early voting numbers. Women and Democrats are 3:1 Republicans (who it is true have been told to wait till voting day). Common sense also suggests you don't piss off 50% of the population by promising to institute politician-run death panels designed to ruthlessly and mercilessly kill 50% of the population who may have health issues. One commentator wryly observed appealing to teenage incel wannabe tech-bros - aspiring Andrew Tate’s - who are too young to vote might not be the killer strategy maga thinks it is.
Enthusiasm is vitally important but it is no guarantee that our desperately weakened institutions will hold. America is about to pull on few remaining straws on the camels back and no one really knows if the last one will be pulled or not.
If the country some how holds fast, then we have to move quickly to stop the spreading cancer. The entire leadership of the Trump Terror Network has to be arrested and put through the judicial system. This includes Musk, Thiel, Fox OAN etc propagandists, Maga members of Congress, Justices Thomas and Alito, Judge Cannon, every single powerful supporter backing attacks on the constitution. This must be stopped once and for all. New anti-incitement legislation has to be passed to make it a crime to incite rebellion against the Union. Social media needs to be regulated like all other media and the fairness doctrine reinstated.
Note I'm not calling for military commissions and barges off Gitmo leading to executions. All of those who have worked so hard to destroy the constitution must now have their conduct made subject to it's prohibitions on rebellion and coup plotting. We did it before and we have to do it again.
Trump might also evacuate to Russia or Venezuela on his jet. He's already talked about it and the kids have been in Latin America making plans. It's an easy hop there and probably better living than Russia.
Then every maga will deny they ever wore a red hat. It will be like Vichy France. Once it fell, everyone had a new backstory of their “service in the resistance”. Hard to pull off in the age of digital receipts, but they'll try.
Good luck everyone. I hope the Constitution is protected and you and those you love remain safe and secure.
It's not a given.
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See this important letter to the public from psychologists who fully understand the threat of Trump and can articulate it very effectively.
Watch from 1h 38 min
https://www.youtube.com/live/Q0WWrMeHWMk?si=efr1IRY9hrAfKjep
The Lincoln Project outlines what
“The entire leadership of the Trump Terror Network has to be arrested and put through the judicial system. This includes Musk, Thiel, Fox OAN etc propagandists, Maga members of Congress, Justices Thomas and Alito, Judge Cannon, every single powerful supporter backing attacks on the constitution.”
This is dangerous territory and risks building a revenge/purge mentality amongst Democrats that has the potential to be just as radical as the current MAGAts. We’re going to have to absorb some hateful political speech and draw a strong line that separates speech from incitement.