Trump's Waco
Washington DC 18 MAR 2023
WE ARE ENTERING A MOMENT OF EXTREME DANGER
Just 24 hours after declaring the US was “the greatest threat to Western Civilization” and calling for “regime change”, strong-man-victim Trump is escalating as CWII predicted he would.
After publication yesterday, Trump called on supporters to attend his ‘first campaign rally’ to be held in Waco TX next weekend. Shortly after, he announced a triggering event - that he will be arrested on Tuesday. As expected, he drops all shaded language and directly orders his troops to action - “PROTEST! TAKE OUR NATION BACK!”
Trump was impeached and is now under criminal investigation for inciting a violent coup attempt on J6. His new desperate calls for more of the same is yet another crime in progress and evidence that can be used against him by Jack Smith. Trump does not care and will use his supporters violence for protection because he is past the point of no return.
Trump likely had plans for April that had to be brought forward due to events in NY.
Extremists and conspiracy theorists obsess about anniversaries and numerology.1
April is filled with symbolism for extremists.
April 19 is the anniversary of
The final fiery day of the Waco siege where 76 cultists died (1776 flags at J6)
The bombing of the Federal building in Oklahoma City - which was in revenge for Waco.
Lincoln’s order to blockade Confederate ports.
The day the American Revolutionary War began with the Battles of Lexington and Concord on April 19, 1775.
April 20 is the anniversary of Hitler’s birthday and the Columbine high school massacre. Finally, April 15th is a day symbolizing the power and authority of the Federal government to “take your money”.
Waco is a deliberate, calculated, choice
Waco Tx was the scene of a devastating stand off between a cult and Federal authorities thirty years ago this month. The standoff lasted 51 days between February 28 – April 19, 1993 and ended with 76 dead including 25 children, and two pregnant women. It is a foundational crucible of the American anti-government movement. Federal authorities are blamed by the movement for the deadly fire - which itself is rich in symbolism. Naturally, the entire disaster launched a thousand conspiracy theories.
Waco & Maga
Maga has all the attributes of a cult.2 It lacks an ideology in the traditional political sense. Its ideas are very simple - the whim of the leader supported by conspiracy theories, primarily QAnon.3 The core idea of QAnon is there is "a coming storm" that will violently eradicate all opposition to the leader and see him restored to power for good. Maga call themselves "stormtroopers for Trump". Its base is comprised of a loose coalition of Waco 'true believers' types: anti-government, white supremacist, neo-Nazi, militia movement, and related extremists.
At first the leader denied knowing about his cult while addressing them in coded language in the middle of his denials! Then over time, as the walls closed in and he realized how valuable their extremism could be to his future ability to resist federal authority, he escalated his engagement, eventually openly embracing and promoting QAnon.
Previously Maga believed Jan 6 was the storm. And lets face it, it came pretty close. The rope on the gallows nearly embraced the necks of the Vice President and Speaker of the House of Representatives and other members of the continuity of government, who stood in the way of the leaders whims.
Trump’s Waco is the perfect vehicle at the perfect moment in time to signal to maga that the "real" storm has arrived. Being an open carry jurisdiction perfectly fits the moment. To the conspiracy theory minded it is hard not to conclude they will see it as the opportunity for a last stand - the perfect storm.4
Maga stormtroopers promise war
Click and scroll for video samples
Update 27 MAR 2023 - Trump violent political messianism
Waco was everything expected. The Leader tapped into his christian nationalist base with end-times rhetoric designed to stir them for the final battle preceding the rapture. Extremist followers actually believe Trump is the second coming of Christ, who has come to save them via a final battle ending in the rapture - a mass death event where the chosen ascend to heaven.
The idea of a rapture as it is currently defined is not found in historic Christianity, and is a relatively recent doctrine originating from the 1830s. The term is used frequently among fundamentalist theologians in the United States.
The rapture is an American cult idea and its origins occur around the same time as other American permutations of mainstream christianity - like the mormons. Scientology is a more recent example of the same thing. In fact, there is a through-line to Trumpism but in his case the messianic is political and demands violence from followers. Trump has no clue about any of this stuff but he will use anything that works to his advantage.
Accelerationists are willing to engage in extreme violence to speed up the moment of rapture. They are not concerned with legal consequences because they will be in heaven.
All of this is alien to normies. It seems fringe and ludicrous. However, it needs to be taken seriously from a counter terrorism perspective.
They get the message!
It was a tiny crowd. Yet with extremists size does not matter. A small vanguard can do a tremendous amount of damage. J6 proves this.
Trump is using the J6 playbook. J6 was intended to intimidate Pence and the Congress. When they failed to do his bidding, he turned them loose on the target. You can see the moment he issued the order in this video.
Trump claimed he would be arrested last week to flood the zone round the Court with protestors to intimidate the DAs office and the Court itself. The problem with that approach is he and maga are unpopular in New York and post 911, the city is a fortress - the NYPD has more cops than some NATO armies (eg. Austria, The Netherlands or Denmark). It was telling that only about 20 people turned up. That must have surprised Trump.
To use the J6 playbook, Trump needs to construct a flash point at a focal point of maga hatred. An event around which he can bring the most extreme accelerationist maga to one location, pump them up and set them loose on a relevant symbol of their hatred. Federal authority, democracy and the constitution are what they hate the most. So the targets are the Capitol, “Biden’s” White House, and outside of DC, federal buildings (courts, administrative, law enforcement). As noted above, the Waco standoff was the trigger for the OK City bombing on the Waco anniversary.
His arrest on federal charges, or his conviction will be likely flash points in the comparatively poorly defended DC. Compared to the 35,000 NYPD, DC is defended by 4000 metro cops and 2700 National Guard. The US Capitol Police have 2300. The FBI 850. The USSS “3,200 special agents, 1,300 Uniformed Division officers, and more than 2,000 other technical, professional and administrative support personnel” - many of whom will be protecting the greatest threat to America since Robert E Lee.
If he can manage to swing something for April 19 2023, it could turn out to be a very sad day for America. The chances of that are low as hopefully someone in intelligence will have some idea about the importance of the date. But he has fully alerted his paramilitaries and their supporters that the “final Battle” is upon them and they must protect him or they all will be destroyed. This is his “I am you” shtick. It also is the Christ persecuted savior messaging to the “true believers”. To normies it’s a shtick, to his most extreme paramilitaries and their supporters, it’s God’s will. I know that seems absurd but that is how they see it. Add the end-times rhetoric and the stage is set for a major flash point. The only hope is his abandonment of J6 “freedom fighters” has taught those vulnerable to his manipulation that they will be left hung out to dry. This involved logic. He is appealing to their faith. He is the second coming and some will go all out to defend him.
One thing is certain, there can be no excuses that whatever is coming was an intelligence failure.
This is true domestically and in international terrorist organizations like al-Qaeda.
Not all GOP members are Maga but all members of Maga are in the GOP and trying to suborn it to Maga.
This is why the GOP removed its political platform.
It will be fascinating to see how this unfolds. Trump will likely not be arrested and perp walked - thus denying the triggering event. While he represents a perfect flight risk - wealthy, welcome in a non-extradition location (Mother Russia), and with his own plane - his ego is such that he will use the event as a promotional activity. The real storm will be a “real” arrest and pre-trial detention. However, it’s obvious that he is trying to recreate a Jan 6 moment in Waco and pulling every leaver at his disposal to make it happen. The last J6 had months to build. While it is true that anticipation of an arrest has also been growing, it may be just too short notice to pass the threshold into something extreme. Waco does fit his fantasy of leading his troops into battle - which was a missed opportunity on J6 (I am having images of him coming on stage in Waco like this:
It would be a ludicrously fitting end to the most ludicrous period in American political history). It also remains to be seen if maga have taken on board the message of J6 that only the stormtroopers pay for Trumps attempts at violence?
Support by the Speaker of the House of Representatives will only fan the flames
Trump is channeling David Koresh! This is zombie politics. The Republican Party has devolved from the party of Lincoln to the party of Nietzsche, Koresh, Trump, and DeSantis.